ABSTRACT
Objective:To screen the factors influencing overall survival (OS) of patients undergoing radical resection for colorectal cancer (CRC) and to construct a prognostic model for OS of patients after CRC.Methods:The clinical data of 350 patients with stage Ⅰ-Ⅳ CRC who underwent radical resection in the People's Hospital of Wuhan University from March 2017 to December 2019 were collected retrospectively. Patients were divided into subgroups 0 ( n=70), 1 ( n=172), and 2 ( n=108) according to different preoperative systemic inflammation score (SIS). The relationship between different SIS, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII) and prognosis of CRC patients undergoing radical surgical resection were analyzed, and Cox regression models were used to perform univariate and multifactorial analyses of factors affecting patient prognosis, and column line graph models were constructed based on the results of multifactorial analyses. Results:By the deadline of follow-up, 80 of 350 CRC patients died, and the 5-year OS rate was 77.14%. The 5-year survival rates of patients in SIS group 0, group 1 and group 2 were 95.71%, 79.65% and 61.11% respectively, with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=30.19, P<0.001). Statistically significant differences in age ( χ2=19.40, P<0.001), tumor site ( χ2=8.18, P=0.017), T stage ( χ2=10.01, P=0.007), TNM stage ( χ2=14.80, P=0.001), tumor diameter ( χ2=13.91, P=0.001) and carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA) level ( χ2=10.12, P=0.006) among patients in SIS group 0, group 1 and group 2. The 5-year OS rates of patients in the low NLR and high NLR groups were 82.67% and 56.16% respectively, with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=24.96, P<0.001) ; the 5-year OS rates of patients in the low LMR and high LMR groups were 66.85% and 88.17% respectively, with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=22.45, P<0.001) ; the 5-year OS rates of patients in the low SII and high SII groups were 86.14% and 69.02% respectively, with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=14.76, P<0.001). Univariate analysis showed that age ( HR=2.58, 95% CI: 1.54-4.32, P<0.001), T stage ( HR=2.41, 95% CI: 1.24-4.68, P=0.009), N stage ( HR=3.03, 95% CI: 1.85-4.94, P<0.001), TNM stage ( HR=3.61, 95% CI: 2.15-6.04, P<0.001), nerve invasion ( HR=1.97, 95% CI: 1.27-3.08, P=0.002), vascular invasion ( HR=2.31, 95% CI: 1.49-3.59, P<0.001), preoperative SIS 1 score ( HR=5.09, 95% CI: 1.57-16.56, P=0.007), SIS 2 score ( HR=11.05, 95% CI: 3.42-35.65, P<0.001), NLR ( HR=2.97, 95% CI: 1.90-4.64, P<0.001), LMR ( HR=0.31, 95% CI: 0.19-0.52, P<0.001), and SII ( HR=2.50, 95% CI: 1.54-4.06, P<0.001) were all independent influence factors affecting the postoperative prognosis of CRC patients undergoing radical surgical resection; multivariate analysis showed that age >60 years ( HR=2.27, 95% CI: 1.31-3.91, P=0.003), TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ ( HR=7.08, 95% CI: 1.89-26.59, P=0.004), and preoperative SIS 2 score ( HR=4.02, 95% CI: 1.09-14.83, P=0.037) were all independent risk factors affecting the postoperative prognosis of CRC patients undergoing radical surgical resection. The nomogram model built based on the screened variables has high prediction accuracy: the C-index of the nomogram was 0.75. Conclusion:Age>60 years old, TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ, SIS 2 score are all independent risk factors for postoperative prognosis of colorectal cancer. The nomograph model constructed by this method has high prediction accuracy.
ABSTRACT
Objective:To investigate the safety and efficacy of chemoradiotherapy compared with chemotherapy after R0 excision in pN + esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on the pathological data of 99 pN + ESCC patients who underwent radical esophagectomy with R0 resection in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from January 2017 to December 2020. According to postoperative adjuvant treatment methods, the patients were divided into chemo-radiotherapy group ( n=41) and chemotherapy group ( n=58). The main outcome measures were disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS) and the incidences of treatment-related adverse events. Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve accompanied with log-rank test. Cox regression model was used to analyze the prognostic factors. Results:The median DFS and OS of 99 patients were 20.0 months and 28.0 months respectively. The 1- and 3-year DFS rates were 60.8% and 34.5% respectively. The 1- and 3-year OS rates were 83.5% and 40.2% respectively. The median DFS was 39.0 months in the chemoradiotherapy group and 10.0 months in the chemotherapy group, and the 1- and 3-year DFS rates were 79.4% vs. 48.3% and 57.3% vs. 24.5% respectively, with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=12.27, P<0.001). The median OS in the chemoradiotherapy group was not reached, and 21.0 months in the chemotherapy group, and the 1- and 3-year OS rates of the chemoradiotherapy group and chemotherapy group were 92.1% vs. 75.9% and 60.8% vs. 27.3%, with a statistically significant difference ( χ2=11.12, P=0.001). Univariate analysis showed that pN stage ( HR=0.58, 95% CI: 0.34-0.97, P=0.038), nerve invasion ( HR=1.88, 95% CI: 1.11-3.20, P=0.020) and adjuvant therapy ( HR=0.37, 95% CI: 0.21-0.67, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors of DFS in pN + ESCC patients. Adjuvant therapy ( HR=0.33, 95% CI: 0.17-0.66, P=0.001) was an independent factor influencing OS in pN + ESCC patients. Multivariate analysis showed that pN stage ( HR=0.54, 95% CI: 0.30-0.97, P=0.038) and adjuvant therapy ( HR=0.38, 95% CI: 0.21-0.69, P=0.001) were independent prognostic factors of DFS. Adjuvant therapy ( HR=0.34, 95% CI: 0.17-0.69, P=0.003) was an independent prognostic factor for OS. During adjuvant therapy, there were statistically significant differences in the incidences of leukopenia [65.85% (27/41) vs. 31.03% (18/58), χ2=11.75, P=0.001], thrombocytopenia [29.27% (12/41) vs. 10.34% (6/58), χ2=5.78, P=0.016], radioactive esophagitis [21.95% (9/41) vs. 0 (0/58), χ2=11.48, P=0.001], and radioactive pneumonia [21.95% (9/41) vs. 0 (0/58), χ2=11.48, P=0.001] between the two groups. Conclusion:Compared with chemotherapy, chemoradiotherapy can significantly improve DFS and OS of pN + ESCC patients with R0 resection after radical surgery, and the adverse reactions can be tolerated. pN stage and adjuvant therapy are independent prognostic factors for DFS, and adjuvant therapy is an independent prognostic factor for OS.